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09/29/2007 - Kansas City, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ryan Newman was second fastest in qualifying at the Kansas Speedway on Friday, but after he failed post- qualifying inspection, he will start 42nd on Sunday.
The No.12 Alltel Dodge posted a lap of 30.876 seconds, second only to pole winner Jimmie Johnson, but his car was found to be too low in the post- qualifying inspection.
<< Grothe leads South Florida to upset of West Virginia
Tampa, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Matt Grothe threw for 135 yards and a touchdown,
and the South Florida defense forced six West Virginia turnovers as the
18th-ranked Bulls downed the No. 5 Mountaineers, 21-13 in the Big East opener
for bot
<< Mets drop out of first place as collapse continues
Flushing, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jeremy Hermida hit a two-run homer and Miguel
Cabrera drove in a pair of runs to lead the Florida Marlins over the now
second-place New York Mets, 7-4, at Shea Stadium.
Carlos Beltran hit a two-run h
<< Cardinals cruise past Pirates
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jim Edmonds drove in three runs as the St.
Louis Cardinals downed the Pittsburgh Pirates, 6-1, in the opener of a three-
game set at PNC Park.
So Taguchi drove in a pair of runs while David Eckstein score
<< Branshaw leads delayed Viking Classic
Madison, MS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - David Branshaw birdied the last two holes
Friday to shoot four-under 68 and grab a one-stroke lead at the delayed Viking
Classic.
Branshaw completed 36 holes at 10-under-par 134. With no one left on
Sabathia earns 100th career victory as Indians down Royals >>
Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cy Young Award candidate C.C. Sabathia
earned his 100th career victory, as the Cleveland Indians secured first-round
playoff home-field advantage with a 5-3 win over the Royals to open a three-
game se
Yankees' division dominance ends; lose in 10 at Baltimore >>
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Melvin Mora's bunt single in the bottom of
the 10th inning lifted Baltimore past New York, 10-9, and ended the Yankees
nearly decade-long dominance of the American League East.
The loss enabled Boston
Diamondbacks clinch playoff spot, snap Rockies' streak >>
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brandon Webb threw seven strong innings and the
Arizona Diamondbacks clinched a playoff spot while dealing Colorado a big blow
to its postseason hopes with a 4-2 victory, snapping the Rockies' franchise-
record
West Virginia's White leaves game >>
Tampa, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - West Virginia quarterback Patrick White left the
team's 21-13 loss to South Florida with a leg injury.
White limped off the field after being tackled at the end of an 18-yard run in
the second quarter. Backup
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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